Midterm Dice

Dem–

GOP–

This roll

100 elections

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Dem seats across all runs

How often each race went D

Ratings: Cook Political Report. Senate ratings by race as of Sep 23, 2026; House seat counts from the CPR ratings summary, where Cook combines likely and lean seats into one group.

Settings

The die Die size

Both parties roll this die in every race. Higher total wins; a tie is a coin flip.

Rating weights Lean bonus Likely bonus Roll Solid races too Solid bonus House likely/lean seats use

The bonus goes on the favored party's die.

National shift Even

GOP beats expectationsDems beat expectations

D+2 adds 2 to every Democratic die. R+2 adds 2 to every Republican die.

Odds with these settings

Batch Elections per batch

Senate ratings